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M BORSUK & ASSOCIATES
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|COMPUTER COMMUNICATIONS CONSULTANTS||1 303 543-9170|
THE MYTH OF DARK FIBER!
Mike Borsuk, Owner M BORSUK & ASSOCIATES
Send us an e-mail for immediate assistance with your optical fiber installation or for help with particularly troublesome communications problems:
Recently my stock broker sent his clients an e-mail discussing the news of a prominent investor taking a large position in a telecommunications infrastructure company. He went on to say that he felt that broadband capacity will become more scarce and that he felt the stock market had bit bottom and was to start rising.
Here's what I e-mailed back to him:
I know you understand my point about the fiber technology. The fairly unknown fact is that "dark fiber" is a phony concept because of the issues I mentioned. Kind of like talking about "empty skies". The sky is very big and mostly empty, but the recent mid-air collision over Germany shows that there are exceptions to the rule. A tremendous amount of fiber was installed on spec and to service long distance carriers' projected demand, but little is understood by most people as to how much of it represents unused capacity for telephone companies and not available for specific customer requirements. I just had lunch with the IT director for a local county. He told me that he needed a high data capacity link between cities about 18 miles apart. He was seriously considering putting in a new $250,000 microwave link as our ILEC's rates were too high and the dominant (but bankrupt CLEC) wanted to charge even more. Apparently, our phone companies doesn't want to bother with a request for T-3 (45 Mbps) from a big customer. It probably costs them too much to service, even though the fibers are in and not used. I suspect that the carriers are waiting until they can just dump the traffic on a pure IP data network. Although voice message and circuit switched traffic is now so cheap that no one makes any money on it, the transition to putting the traffic on IP via the internet or equivalent shared "packet switched" network is a technical and economic model that is quite flawed at worst and completely uncharacterized at best. The philosophy of everyone using an open service means that no one knows who is going to pay for it. Worse, perhaps, is that no one either is in a position to keep it working well. It becomes a utility without utility control or responsibility. The wireless LANs and unlicensed microwave systems are beginning to fail due to interference from each other and lack of performance standards.
Please invest wisely and if you can't make money, keep what we got.
A full report on this topic is available from the author for a nominal fee.
Also available is a new report on Gigabit Ethernet over multi-mode fiber.
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Contracted proprietary studies and on-site focused educational programs are our specialties.
M BORSUK & ASSOCIATES has been providing technical assistance and education services for today's voice and data telecommunications systems since 1989. We design and analyze existing and planned electronic and optical transmission systems, generate and analyze proposals, manage projects, and help to educate our clients regarding data and voice communication systems design and acquisitions. All associates are former telecommunications industry managers, adjunct faculty members in graduate telecommunications programs, and hold graduate electrical engineering degrees.
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